Wednesday, April 6, 2022

First Quarter 2022

We just completed our monthly reports and first quarter 2022 reports and have several observations.

[Reports page link]

SAN FRANCISCO

In San Francisco, 2021 recorded the highest number of residential sales since 2004 including single family homes and condos/TICs.  However, for the first quarter this year compared to 2021 first quarter there has been a decline of 17% in closed sales.  Single family homes fell about 12% and condos/TICs fell about 21% in the same first quarter comparison.

[San Francisco quarterly link]

At the same time the average selling prices for single family homes increased by 7% while condos/TICs were down by almost 2%.

Is scarcity driving up prices?  For single family homes this obviously has been true.  As of April 4 there was only 3 weeks of available inventory (number of available properties divided by the average number of monthly sales).  On the other hand, condos/TICs were a surprise as inventory has been hovering between 2 and 3 months.


Both 2 bedroom/1 bath and 3 bedroom/2 bath single family homes continue to establish new historic high average selling prices almost every month.  And 2/2 condos have returned to historic high prices after a downturn during the two years following the start of the pandemic.

And 1/1 and 2/1 condos have also seen recent upticks in recent selling prices but are still 3% off their previous high reached in 2019.

 

MARIN

Total residential sales (including single family homes and condos) for the first quarter of this year compared to 2021 first quarter show a drop of 18% for all sales with single family homes falling 17% and condos falling 19%.  At the same time average selling prices for Marin County residential sales were up 6% with single family homes up 3% and condos up 16%.

[Marin quarterly link]

As of 4/4/22 Marin has almost three weeks of available inventory of single family homes and four weeks of available inventory of condos. 




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